[A-DX] Funkprognose 19.-25. November

[Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>]

Solar-activity forecast for the period Nov 19 - 25, 2004

Activity level: very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 85-120 f.u.
Flares: weak (2-15/day)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 30-70

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Nov 19 to Nov 25, 2004


quiet: Nov 23, 24 and 25
quiet to unsettled: Nov 22
unsettled: Nov 19 and 21
unsettled to active: Nov 20
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Nov 14, 15, 16 and 17, quiet to unsettled on Nov 13, unsettled to
active on Nov 11, active on Nov 12.


RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation


active:    Nov 20-21, 26-27, 30, Dec 1, 4-9, 13-14
disturbed: Nov 21, (26-27,) 30, (Dec 1, 4-8)
quiet:     Nov 19, 22-25, (28-29), Dec 2-3, 10-12

Survey:quiet: 15
          quiet to unsettled: 16-17
          unsettled: Nov 13-14
          active to disturbed: Nov 11-12

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun. In addition especially at this
         time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions are
         frequently determined by short timescale events, usually
         not able to be forecasted.


Petr Kolman, OK1MGW, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: kolmanp@xxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________


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