[A-DX] Funkprognose 5.-11-November

[Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>]

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Solar-activity forecast for the period Nov 5 - 11, 2004

Activity level: mostly low to moderate
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 145-110 f.u.
Flares: weak (5-20/day), middle (1-5/period), large (0-2/period)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 60-110

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Nov 5 to Nov 11, 2004

quiet: 0
quiet to unsettled: 0
unsettled: Nov 5, 8 and 11
unsettled to active: Nov 7, 9 and 10
active: Nov 6
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Oct 27, 28, 29, Nov 1 and 2, unsettled on Oct 30, 31 and Nov 3.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:    Nov (6-7,) 8-11, 15-16, (17, 19-20), 21, 26-27
disturbed: Nov 8-10, 15-16, 21, 26-27
quiet:     Nov 5, 12-13, 18, 22-24, 28-29

Survey:   mostly quiet: Oct 27-28
          quiet to unsettled: Oct 29, Nov 1-3
          active: Oct 30-31

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun. In addition at this time of
         the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently
         determined by short timescale events, usually not able
         to be forecasted.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

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