[A-DX] Funkprognose 27.8.-2.9.

[Christoph Ratzer <dx@xxxxxxxxx>]

_____________________________________________________________________

Solar-activity forecast for the period Aug 27 - Sep 2, 2004

Activity level: very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 75-115 f.u.
Flares: weak (1-10/day)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 11-60

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague) 
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Aug 27 to Sep 2, 2004

quiet: Aug 27, 28 and 30
quiet to unsettled: Aug 29 and 31, Sep 1 and 2
unsettled: 0 
active: 0 
minor storm: 0 
major storm: 0 
severe storm: 0 

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on Aug 19, 23, 24
and 25, unsettled on Aug 20, 21 and 22.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept, Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:    Aug 27-28(-29,) Sep 2-3, 6-7, 10, 13-18
disturbed: Sep (3,) 6-7, (10,) 13-14, 17-18
quiet:     Aug 30-31, Sep 1, 4-5, (9,) 11-12, 19-20

Survey:   quiet to unsettled: Aug 15-19, 24-25
          mostly unsettled: Aug 23
          unsettled to active: Aug 20, 22
          unsettled to disturbed: Aug 21

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun. In addition at this time of
         the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently
         determined by short timescale events, usually not able
         to be forecasted.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

Wolf Harranth OE1WHC <mailto:wolf.harranth@xxxxxx
<mailto:wolf.harranth@xxxxxx> >
Intern. Kuratorium QSL COLLECTION
Dokumentationsarchiv zur Erforschung der Geschichte
des Funkwesens und der elektronischen Medien
c/o ORF, A-1040 Wien, Argentinierstr. 30A
Fon +43(1)-501 01-16071 -- mailto:oe1xqc@xxxxxxxx <mailto:oe1xqc@xxxxxxxx>
www.qsl.at <file://www.qsl.at>


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