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[A-DX] Funkjprognose 2.-8. Juli


  • Subject: [A-DX] Funkjprognose 2.-8. Juli
  • From: Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 01 Jul 2004 20:05:22 +0200

_____________________________________________________________________


Solar-activity forecast for the period Jul 2 - 8, 2004

Activity level: very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 80-110 f.u.
Flares: weak (2-12/day)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 11-60

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Jul 2 to Jul 8, 2004

quiet: Jul 8
quiet to unsettled: Jul 2, 4 and 5
unsettled: Jul 3, 6 and 7
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Jun 24, 25 and 27, quiet to unsettled on Jun 26 and 30, unsettled on
Jun 28, unsettled to active on Jun 29.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx

_____________________________________________________________________


Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:      Jul 2, 4-7, 11-12, 15, 22-23, 25-27
disturbed:   Jul 2, (5-6, 11)
quiet:      Jul (3,) 8-10, 13-14, 16-21, (24)

Survey:   quiet: Jun 24-25, 27,
          unsettled to active: Jun 26
          mostly active: Jun 28-29

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun. In addition at this time of
         the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently
         determined by short timescale events, usually not able
         to be forecasted.

Petr Kolman, OK1MGW, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: kolmanp@xxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

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