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[A-DX] Funkprognose 27.2.-4.3.


  • Subject: [A-DX] Funkprognose 27.2.-4.3.
  • From: Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 26 Feb 2004 19:27:31 +0100

_____________________________________________________________________

Solar-activity forecast for the period Feb 27 - Mar 4, 2004

Activity level: predominantly low to moderate
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 110-160 f.u.
Flares: weak (5-20/day), middle (1-3/period), large (0-2/period)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 60-110

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Feb 27 to Mar 4, 2004

quiet: Feb 27
quiet to unsettled: 0
unsettled: Mar 3 and 4
unsettled to active: Mar 2
active: Feb 28, 29 and Mar 1
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Feb 20, 21 and 25, quiet to unsettled on Feb 19 and 23, unsettled on
Feb 22 and 24.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxx cz
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:     Feb 27, 29, Mar 1-5, 9-13, (17,) 20-23
disturbed:  Feb 27, (29,) Mar 1-2, (3-4), 10-13, (21,) 22-23
quiet:      Feb (28,) Mar 6-7, (8,) 14-15, (16, 18-19)

Survey:   quiet: Feb 20, 25
          mostly quiet: Feb 19, 21
          quiet to unsettled: Feb 18, 22-23
          quiet to active: Feb 24

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

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