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[A-DX] Funkwetterprognose 20-26.2.


  • Subject: [A-DX] Funkwetterprognose 20-26.2.
  • From: Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Fri, 20 Feb 2004 08:35:29 +0100

Solar-activity forecast for the period Feb 20 - 26, 2004

Activity level: very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 85-135 f.u.
Flares: weak (1-15/day)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 30-90

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Feb 20 to Feb 26, 2004

quiet: 0
quiet to unsettled: Feb 25
unsettled: Feb 20, 21, 23 and 26
unsettled to active: Feb 22 and 24
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Feb 17, quiet to unsettled on Feb 16, unsettled on Feb 14 and 18,
active on Feb 12, 13 and 15.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:     Feb 21, 23-27, 29, Mar 1-5, 9-14, 17
disturbed:  Feb (21, 23-24, 26,) 29, Mar (2-5), 9-11, 13(-14), 17
quiet:      Feb (22, 28,) Mar 6-7, 15(-16)

Survey:   quiet: Feb 17
          quiet to unsettled: Feb 18
          mostly active: Feb 14-15
          quiet to disturbed: Feb 11
          unsettled to active: Feb 13
          unsettled to disturbed: Feb 12

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun.
         Finally the sunspot cycle phase is slowly entering into
         more quiet phase now.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx
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