[A-DX] Funkprgnose 12.-18. November

[Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>]

Solar-activity forecast for the period Nov 12 - 18, 2004

Activity level: mostly very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 125-75 f.u.
Flares: weak (1-15/day), middle (0-2/period)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 50-110

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Nov 12 to Nov 18, 2004

quiet: Nov 15
quiet to unsettled: Nov 17 and 18
unsettled: Nov 14 and 16
unsettled to active: Nov 13
active: 0
minor storm: Nov 12
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Nov 5 and 6, unsettled on Nov 4, minor storm on Nov 7, major
storm on Nov 8, 9 and 10.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:    Nov 11-16, 21, 26-27, 30, Dec 1, 4-8
disturbed: Nov 11-13, (14-15,) 16, 21, (26-27,) 30, (Dec 1, 4-8)
quiet:     Nov 18-19, 22-24, 28, Dec 2-3

Survey:   mostly quiet: 5
          quiet to unsettled: Nov 1-2, 4, 6
          quiet to active: Nov 3
          quiet to disturbed: Nov 7
          disturbed: Nov 9
          heavily disturbed: Nov 8, 10

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun. In addition especially at this
         time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions are
         frequently determined by short timescale events, usually
         not able to be forecasted.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx
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