[A-DX] Funkprognose 29.10.-4.11.2004

[Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>]

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Solar-activity forecast for the period Oct 29 - Nov 4, 2004

Activity level: predominantly low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 135-85 f.u.
Flares: weak (2-20/day), middle (0-2/period)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 120-170

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Oct 29 to Nov 4, 2000

quiet: Nov 1 to 4
quiet to unsettled: Oct 29
unsettled: Oct 30 and 31
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Oct 23 and 26, quiet to unsettled on Oct 21, 22 and 24, unsettled
on Oct 25.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:    Oct 29-31, Nov (1, 6,) 7-11, (14-15,) 16, (17, 19), 20(-21)
disturbed: Oct 30, Nov (1,) (8,) 9-10, (11, 15,) 16(-17), (19,) (20-21)
quiet:     Nov 2-5, (6,) 12-13, 18, 22

Survey:   quiet: Oct 26
          mostly quiet: Oct 22-23, 27
          quiet to unsettled: Oct 21, 24-25
          mostly unsettled: Oct 20

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun. In addition at this time of
         the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently
         determined by short timescale events, usually not able
         to be forecasted.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx
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