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[A-DX] Funkprognose 16-22-1.


  • Subject: [A-DX] Funkprognose 16-22-1.
  • From: Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>
  • Date: Thu, 15 Jan 2004 22:34:57 +0100

____________________________________________________________________

Solar-activity forecast for the period Jan 16 - 22, 2004

Activity level: low to moderate
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 110-155 f.u.
Flares: weak (2-15/day), middle (0-3/period)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 50-120

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Jan 16 to 22, 2004

quiet: Jan 21 and 22
quiet to unsettled: Jan 20
unsettled: Jan 16 and 19
unsettled to active: Jan 18
active: Jan 17
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Jan 8, unsettled on Jan 10, 12 and 14, unsettled to active on Jan 11,
active on Jan 9 and 13.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:     Jan 16-20, 23-24, 28-31, Feb 1-3, 5-7, 9
disturbed:  Jan 17-18, (23-24,) 29, (30-31), Feb 1, (2,) 3, 6-7, (9)
quiet:      Jan 21(-22), 25-26, Feb 4, 8.

Survey:   quiet to unsettled: Jan 14
          quiet to active: Jan 8
          quiet to disturbed: Jan 11-13
          active to disturbed: Jan 9-10
          mostly disturbed: Jan 7

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________
--
Wolf Harranth OE1WHC - mailto:harranth@xxxxxxxx
Intern. Kuratorium QSL COLLECTION - mailto:oe1xqc@xxxxxxxx
www.qsl.at




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