[A-DX] Funkprognose 26.11.-2.12.

[Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>]

Solar-activity forecast for the period Nov 26 - Dec 2, 2004

Activity level: predominantly low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 95-145 f.u.
Flares: weak (2-20/day), middle (0-4/period)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 60-120

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Nov 26 to Dec 2, 2004

quiet: Nov 28 and 29
quiet to unsettled: Nov 27 and Dec 2
unsettled: Nov 26, 30 and Dec 1
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Nov 18, 19, 22 and 23, quiet to unsettled on Nov 24, unsettled on
Nov 20, unsettled to active on Nov 21.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:    Nov 26-27, 30, Dec 1, 4-9, 13-14, 17-18
disturbed: Nov (26-27,) 30, (Dec 1, 4-8)
quiet:     Nov (28-29), Dec 2-3, 10-12, 15-16, 19-22

Survey:   quiet: Nov 15,18
          quiet to unsettled: Nov 16-17, 19, 22-24
          active: Nov 20-21

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun. In addition especially at this
         time of the solar cycle, space weather conditions are
         frequently determined by short timescale events, usually
         not able to be forecasted.

Petr Kolman, OK1MGW, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: kolmanp@xxxxxxxxx
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