[A-DX] Funkprognose 24.-30. September

[Wolf Harranth <harranth@xxxxxxxx>]

Solar-activity forecast for the period Sep 24 - 30, 2004

Activity level: mostly very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 80-120 f.u.
Flares: weak (1-15/day), middle (O-1/period)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 15-70

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Sep 24 to Sep 30, 2004

quiet: Sep 28, 29 and 30
quiet to unsettled: Sep 27
unsettled: Sep 24, 25 and 26
active: 0
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was quiet on
Sep 19 and 21, unsettled on Sep 18, 20 and 22, unsettled to active
on Sep 16 and 17.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation


active:      Sep 26-27(-28), Oct 3-5, 10-15, (17-18)
disturbed:   Sep 27, Oct (3-4), 10-11, 14-15, (17)
quiet:       Sep (24-25, 30) Oct (1-2,) 6, (7,) 8-9, (16)

 Survey:   quiet to unsettled: Sep 21
           quiet to active: Sep 19-20, 22
           mostly active: Sep 16-17
           active: Sep 15
           quiet to disturbed: Sep 18

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun. In addition at this time of
         the solar cycle, space weather conditions are frequently
         determined by short timescale events, usually not able
         to be forecasted.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx
--
Internationales Kuratorium QSL COLLECTION
Dokumentationsarchiv zur Erforschung der Geschichte des Funkwesens und 
der elektronischen Medien
c/o ORF, Argentinierstr. 30A, A-1040 Wien
(Postfach 2, A-1112 Wien)
mailto:oe1xqc@xxxxxxxx - www.qsl.at





-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Diese Mail wurde ueber die A-DX Mailing-Liste gesendet.
Admin: Christoph Ratzer, OE2CRM  http://www.ratzer.at
-----------------------------------------------------------------------
Private Verwendung der A-DX Meldungen fuer Hobbyzwecke ist gestattet, jede
kommerzielle Verwendung bedarf der Zustimmung des A-DX Listenbetreibers.