AW: [A-DX] dw 6075 / RRI heute mittag

[j.schaumann@xxxxxxxxxxx (J. Schaumann)]

Hallo Martin,

danke für Deinen Hinweis. Leider hat mich diese Meldung nicht erreicht. Bin
ich hier im falschen Verteiler? Nochmals Danke an Daniel für die wirklich
gute Info.

Gruß

Joachim

-----Ursprüngliche Nachricht-----
Von: owner-liste@xxxxxxx [mailto:owner-liste@xxxxxxx]Im Auftrag von
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Gesendet: Montag, 8. November 2004 18:31
An: A-DX
Betreff: Re: [A-DX] dw 6075 / RRI heute mittag


Moin Moin,

> danke für die Mails zur 6.075. Ich dachte heute Mittag schon, dass
> ich ein technisches Problem habe. Aber selbst mein Grundig 650 war
> neben dem TS-2000 fast taub. Was ist bzw. war da los?

Ein solarer Sturm, wurde doch heute früh gemeldet:

Warning: Very severe geomagnetic storming in progress. Another large solar
storm is in transit and could impact Earth during the latter half of
November 8.

Oder wie IPS heute meldete:

> SUBJ: IPS DAILY SOLAR AND GEOPHYSICAL REPORT
> ISSUED AT 07/2330Z NOVEMBER 2004 BY IPS RADIO AND SPACE SERVICES
> FROM THE AUSTRALIAN SPACE FORECAST CENTRE
> SUMMARY FOR 07 NOVEMBER AND FORECAST FOR 08 NOVEMBER - 10 NOVEMBER
> STATUS INDICATORS SOL:** RED **   MAG:** RED **     ION: ** RED **
> -----------------------------------------------------------
> 1A. SOLAR SUMMARY
> Activity 07 Nov:  High

> Flares    Max     Fadeout    Freq.  Sectors
>   X2.0    1606UT  probable   all    South American/
>                                     Atlantic

> Observed 10.7 cm flux/Equivalent Sunspot Number for 07 Nov: 130/84


> 1B. SOLAR FORECAST
>              08 Nov             09 Nov             10 Nov
> Activity     Moderate to high   Moderate to high   Moderate
> Fadeouts     Probable           Probable           Possible
> 10.7cm/SSN   125/78             125/78             120/72
> COMMENT: Solar activity over the last 24 hours was High, with
> region 696 producing many C-Class events and a X2.0 Class event
> at 1545UT. Lasco C3 imagery for the 7th of November is not available
> to confirm a CME. An associated proton event is currently in
> progress arising from the X2-Class event. Region 696 remains
> quite large in sunspot size and retains a level of magnetic compexity
> that suggests further C and M-Class events are possible. A shock
> front from a CME from the 03Nov or 04Nov was observed and has
> resulted in Major Geomagnetic Storm conditons. At 1000UT the
> solar wind velocity increased by 50km/s and began to steadily
> rise from 430km/s to 500km/s at 1755UT at which it then rose
> sharply to be at 700km/s at the time of this report. Simarly
> the north south component of the interplanetary magentic field
> Bz, indicated the shock arrivals with step impulse changes in
> its magnitude of 20nT at 1755UT after which it turned southwards
> to be -40nT at the time of this report. The magentometer on the
> GOES satellite indicated a probable Geo-synchronous crossing
> of the magnetosphere exposing it to the solar wind stream as
> seen in its recorded data. There also appears to be another region
> significant region approaching the southeast limb that should
> roate on disc within the next few days.
> A possible weak shock was observed in the solar wind at 0153UT
> on 07 Nov, and a possible weak shock was observed in the solar
> wind at 0958UT on 07 Nov, and a strong shock was observed in
> the solar wind at 1754UT on 07 Nov.

> -----------------------------------------------------------
> 2A. MAGNETIC SUMMARY

> Geomagnetic field for Australian Region 07 Nov: Quiet to Severe Storm
Levels

> Estimated Indices 07 Nov :  A   K
>    Australian Region      27   2324 4467
>       Darwin              25   2324 3466
>       Townsville          30   2325 4467
>       Learmonth           32   2225 4567
>       Culgoora             -   ---- ----
>       Canberra            35   1324 4477
>       Hobart              32   1314 3477
>       Casey(Ant)          34   ---4 3366

> Observed Regional daily pc3 Indices 07 NOV :
>       Townsville           2   (Quiet)
>       Learmonth            2   (Quiet)
>       Culgoora            NA
>       Canberra             4   (Quiet)
>       Hobart               2   (Quiet)
> Pc3 pulsations are high frequency (10-45 second period) variations
> of the Earths magnetic field. Daily pc3 indices are the daily sum
> of 20 minute pc3 indices for that station.

> Estimated AFr/Ap Indices 07 Nov : A
>            Fredericksburg        22
>            Planetary             25

> Observed AFr/Ap Indices 06 Nov :  A   K
>            Fredericksburg         4
>            Planetary              3   0000 1111


> 2B. MAGNETIC FORECAST
> Date      Ap    Conditions
> 08 Nov    60    Storm levels
> 09 Nov    50    Storm levels
> 10 Nov    30    Active to Minor storm
> COMMENT: IPS Geomagnetic Warning 29 was issued on 7 November
> and is current for interval 8-10 November. Geomagnetic activity
> was Quiet to Major Storm levels over the last 24 hours.A shock
> arival from a CME on 03/04 November has resulted in the current
> storm conditions. There is also a proton event curently taking
> place from a X2-Class event that occured at 1545UT. Storm conditions
> are expected to continue for the next 24-36 hours after which
> another shock front arrival could occur if a full halo CME was
> produced from the X2-Class event today (LASCO C3 imagery wasnt
> available to confirm this).
> A weak (33nT) impulse was observed in the IPS magnetometer data
> at 1053UT on 07 Nov.
> -----------------------------------------------------------
> 3A. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION SUMMARY
>                   Latitude Band
> Date        Low            Middle         High
> 07 Nov      Normal-fair    Normal-fair    Normal-fair
> PCA Event : 10Mev Proton/PCA Event Began 07 11 2004 1915UT and is in
progress

> 3B. GLOBAL HF PROPAGATION FORECAST
>                   Latitude Band
> Date        Low            Middle         High
> 08 Nov      Poor           Poor           Poor(PCA)
> 09 Nov      Poor           Poor           Poor
> 10 Nov      Fair           Fair           Fair-Poor
> COMMENT: HF conditions expected to be depressed for the next
> 24-36 hours due to the current geomagnetic storm conditions.
> -----------------------------------------------------------
> 4A. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC SUMMARY


> Date   T index
> 07 Nov    56

> Observed Australian Regional MUFs
>    Equatorial PNG Region:
>       Near predicted monthly values during local day,
>       Enhanced by 25% during local night.
>    Northern Australian Region:
>       Near predicted monthly values during local day,
>       Enhanced by 20% during local night.
>    Southern Australian and New Zealand Region:
>       Mostly near predicted monthly values,
>    Antarctic Region (Casey/Scott Base):
>       Proton event in progress, increased absorption observed.


> Predicted Monthly T index for November:  35

> 4B. AUSTRALIAN REGION IONOSPHERIC FORECAST
> Date   T index  MUFs
> 08 Nov    10    depressed 20 to 30%/near predicted monthly values
> 09 Nov    10    depressed 20 to 30%/near predicted monthly values
> 10 Nov    30    depressed 5 to 10%/near predicted monthly values
> COMMENT: IPS HF Communications Warning 44 was issued on 7 November
> and is current for interval 9-10 November. Depressed HF conditions
> forecast for the next 24-36hrs due to the arrival of shock fronts
> from recent CME activity on 03/04Nov resulting in Major Geomagnetic
> Storm levels. A proton event is also currently in progress and
> will affect transpolar communications. Depressed conditions expected
> for all Aus/NZ regions.
> -----------------------------------------------------------
> 5. SPACE ENVIRONMENT SUMMARY

> GOES satellite data for 06 Nov
>        Daily Proton Fluence >1 MeV:   2.9E+05
>        Daily Proton Fluence >10 MeV:  1.6E+04
>        Daily Electron Fluence >2 MeV: 9.80E+05 (normal fluence)
> Electron Fluence Daily Deep Dielectric Discharge Probability: 0%
> Fluence (flux accumulation over 24hrs)/ cm2-ster-day.
>        X-ray background: B4.3

> ACE Satellite Solar Wind Day Averaged Data for 06 Nov
> Speed: 337 km/sec  Density:    3.2 p/cc  Temp:    31600 K  Bz:   1 nT

> (Courtesy Space Environment Center, Boulder USA)
> ACE data can be incorrect during strong proton events.
> -----------------------------------------------------------


> IPS Radio and Space Services      | email: asfc@xxxxxxxxxx
> PO Box 1386                       | WWW: http://www.ips.gov.au
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--
Tschüß,
Martin

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