[A-DX] Funkprognose 30.1.-5.2.

[harranth@xxxxxxxx]

Solar-activity forecast for the period Jan 30 - Feb 5, 2004

Activity level: very low to low
Radio flux (10.7 cm): a fluctuation in the range 80-115 f.u.
Flares: weak (1-12/day)
Relative sunspot number: in the range 11-60

Astronomical Institute, Solar Dept., Ondrejov, Czech Republic
e-mail: sunwatch@xxxxxxxxxx
(RWC Prague)
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period Jan 30 to Feb 5, 2004

quiet: 0
quiet to unsettled: 0
unsettled: Jan 30 and Feb 5
unsettled to active: Jan 31, Feb 3 and 4
active: Feb 1 and 2
minor storm: 0
major storm: 0
severe storm: 0

Geomagnetic activity summary: geomagnetic field was unsettled on
Jan 24 and 27, unsettled to active on Jan 26 and 28, active to minor
storm on Jan 25, minor storm on Jan 22 and 23.

RWC Prague, Geophysical Institute Prague, Geomagnetic Dept,
Czech Republic
e-mail: geom@xxxxxxxxx
_____________________________________________________________________

Geomagnetic activity forecast for the period of one solar rotation

active:     Jan 30 - Feb 23 *)
disturbed:  Jan (30-31,) Feb 1-3, (4-7, 8-11,) 12-14, (15-17,) 18, (19-22)
quiet:      Feb (4, 8) *)

Survey:   quiet to active: Jan 26-27
          unsettled to active: Jan 21
          mostly active: Jan 24
          active to disturbed: Jan 23, 28
          mostly disturbed: Jan 22, 25

Remarks: Days in brackets () => lower probability of activity
         (or lower accuracy of) forecast, depending on previous
         development on the Sun.
         Due running changes an accurate forecast is rather not possible.
         *) A number of active days will be lower (and number of quiet days
         will be higher) in next solar rotation than indicated here.

Frantisek K. Janda, OK1HH, Czech Propagation Interested Group
e-mail: franta.janda@xxxxxxxx


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